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Political junkies love Intrade because it provides real-time forecasts of election results that should theoretically be free of the problems that
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Intrade on Stossel (Fox) with James Surowiecki intradecom 794 views John Stossel talks about prediction markets and Intrade in particular and speaks to James
InTrade betting market shows Gingrich imploding in Iowa Ritholtz says: "So much for the Gingrich juggernaut . . . on Intrade, his Iowa polling
One can listen to Eurocrats promising the moon and the stars, and that the zEUR0.PK will survive come hell or high water, or one can trade the
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Currently the most popular market on Intrade is the prospective fall of Libya's Moammar Gadhafi, garnering more than $100000 in wagers. Markets regarding the
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Intrade Prediction Markets - ▲ ▼ - Company Overview: Over 100000 members are placing real bets on Politics, Business, Climate, Entertainment, Financial,
Two centuries ago, Scottish economist Adam Smith and British economist David Ricardo expressed a revolutionary belief that countries should participate in
Intrade is an online trading exchange website. The website's members speculate on the outcomes of non-sports-related future events. Intrade was founded by
This was the state of the Intrade betting on the 2012 GOP primary as of around 4PM this afternoon when I got distracted and stopped working
Trading at around 36%-39%, the Intrade market is saying Rick Perry is the front runner, but that it is still more likely he loses than wins.
Remember, Intrade is where people put hard money down on predicting outcomes so there is no spin or political bias involved. Those placing
According to the latest InTrade odds, Obama's chance of being reelected in 2012 is now at its all time low, or 48.5% after soaring to a high of
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John Quiggin: >My adventures on Intrade — Crooked Timber: For those who don' t follow the economics and politics literature obsessively,
Obama's odds of re-election fall on Intrade | Intrade users buying and selling shares of Obama's stock give him a 50-50 chance of winning a
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Perhaps it is time to point out the "trade of the day", which for some reason has seen no action yet since the Iran news has broken. Presenting
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Drudge links directly to InTrade prediction markets, bypassing journalos. — [ SCREENSHOT] · Much better than a bike… and more affordable
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Find out everything you need to know about Intrade before you play. Intrade is an online Betting Exchange site.
After questions were raised here and elsewhere about the discrepancy between Intrade prices and those of other prediction markets over the
John was a pioneer in the prediction markets and had helped found Intrade. In the wake of the dotcom bubble bursting, John kept Intrade alive
So last night I bought a bunch of shares of "Dow down at least 25 A bid is exactly that. If you are bidding for something, you are only actually
We know that Intrade prices don't necessarily reflect “all information, public and private” at any given time, and we only have to look at the
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INTRADE: Romney RUNNING AWAY with the GOP Nomination nationally and in NH, SC, and FL. It seems that when it comes to those folks
Anyone use Intrade to invest? Is this considered legal in all states of USA? How do you file taxes with this? Do you file both profits and losses?
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The Obama futures contract just spiked to 91% this morning on Intrade. RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama This is.
Mitt Romney has fallen below 50 percent on InTrade for the first time since the beginning of October, as former Speaker of the House Newt
Ron Paul ahead in Iowa as Intrade is jammed. Intrade, the "wisdom of crowds" is completely jammed as volumes spike in Iowa caucus betting.
These markets have affinities with sports betting and financial markets, but the categories topics are quite different: InTrade's categories include Current Events,
As I have previously stated, I don't normally pay much attention to Intrade. I view it as perhaps one notch above a straw poll. I still feel that way.
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Intrade News. Find breaking news, commentary, and archival information about Intrade From The Business Insider.
Business Insider takes note of a milestone of sorts in the Republican race: Mitt Romney dropped below 50% for the first time today at Intrade
Very sad news about the passing of Intrade CEO John Delaney. Although I've had occasional differences with Intrade's decisions over the
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The debate went well for Romney. He's up on Intrade to 91.3% at the time of writing. Gingrich needed a comeback coming into this debate and
If it's Monday, it must be time for an Intrade update! As we approach the Sunshine State vote, the sun is about to set on the Gingrich campaign
One way to highlight sentiment towards the US economy is through Intrade's contract for whether or not the US will go into a recession in 2012.
Intrade probabilities for Democrats winning the Electoral College votes of each State as a map. Above 50% is shades of blue (representing a Democrat lead)
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You may have heard Ann Coulter refer to a website called “Intrade” — There is a reason for that. It is historically accurate. It is a market of
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According to the prediction betting website InTrade, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney is currently back on track to become the next
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Intrade is a futures market, just like commodities markets where people make trades On Intrade, thousands of people bet on the outcomes of current events.
As a founder of Intrade I believed and still believe that that there are communities of people most interested in p2p trading as distinct from betting against a
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Intrade, a pretty accurate predictive market, is putting Mitt Romney's This graphs shows increases and decreases in Intrade price that occurred during the
For some time now I've traded on Intrade after some successes on the IEM. Recently, Intrade announced a new fee structure - instead of paying
Mitt Romney's chances at winning the Republican presidential nomination took a hit on Friday morning, according to Intrade's decision market.
There are only 74 days between now and the Ames Straw Poll on August 13th. There may, or may not be, another Republican in the field
Because it involves putting money on everyday events (like sports), trading contracts on Intrade may seem a little like gambling. But Intrade
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Expected: Obama 269 McCain 269. Leaning: Obama 538. Probabilities: Obama 50 McCain 50. 270 Delegates Needed for Majority. New Hampshire 4
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On a sunny day in Dublin a few years ago I sat down with John Delaney in a park outside the offices of his company InTrade. He shared with
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This Developer's Life: Intrade. Dear Reader: Sorry for being gone so long. I've been on lockdown doing “the thing with the TV cameras”.
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For those who opt for the latter, they should head over to Intrade where the contract pricing the possibility of “Any country currently using the
Mitt Romney stock is soaring on Intrade, a prediction market website based on real world events. The shares are sold based on the probability
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From a high of nearly 70 percent in early May following the capture of Osama bin Laden, the odds for the Intrade futures contract “Barack
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48% The intrade crowd predicts that there is a 48% chance that this event will happen. Is the crowd wrong? Make your prediction now! You think less likely:
A friend of mine from the States sent me an email the other day,” says Chad Rigetti, VP of Business Development for Intrade, from its Dublin
I understand you sell or buy directly from other users, but who does the actual " emission" of shares, and how is the volume and price determined?. Answer 1 of 2 :
NEW YORK — John Delaney, an Irish businessman who founded Intrade, an online prediction market that allows customers to bet on world
Over the past 24 hours there's been a spike in Ron Paul's shares on Intrade. He has overtaken Cain and now trades fourth highest. There is something the
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Here is a table of states where Intrade disagreed with FiveThirtyEight on one of the first four dates for which I saved FiveThirtyEight data or
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But bettors at Intrade, the political futures market, are betting against Mr. Mr. Perry's price at Intrade declined to 4 percent from 9 percent
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Coakley's chances surged on Intrade this morning which wasn't the way I wanted to start my day. Thankfully the one of the readers over at the
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With today's snapback, the Dow lost 777 and regained 485. As of this evening, Intrade says the probability of a bailout bill passing by Oct 31st is
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Intrade is a total blast to play. I have never had so much fun playing any game, ever. I trade everything there, so some times others get my lunch.
I completely agree with Eli Lehrer that the Republican Party's 2012 nominee will be Romney. I also agree with his analysis of the reasons
If you had to put your money on it, would you bet that Newt Gingrich will win the Republican nomination? If so, you're in the minority. After days
Here's what Thaler is talking about. Over the past couple of weeks, the price of a contract that pays $10 in the event that Gingrich is nominated
The discussion is going to focus around Intrade, a site that lets you bet on the outcome of various events, including elections. As a fan of Robin
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Intrade is a predictions marketplace that allows people to bet real money on events. As determined by the free market of Intrade, Ron Paul's chance of winning
Romney surges, Perry plummets on Intrade | 'I've always found Intrade remarkably accurate,' New York-based campaign guru Bill O'Reilly
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InTrade, for those unacquainted, is a website where betters trade “contracts” on whether an event, from a raised debt ceiling to a Charlie Sheen
The Latest South Carolina Numbers from Intrade on the Republican Primary. Posted by Kendall Harmon. As i write this, Gingrich is just under
Read 'Romney wins brief debate bounce at Intrade' from our blog The Ticket on Yahoo! News. Who says debates don't matter? Following his
Update: We've spoke to the trader who says he spent $35 shorting the contract in 10 trades, causing the flash crash. "I did this to show that
Intrade is an online trading exchange website. The website's members speculate on the outcomes of non-sports-related future events. Intrade
This is what the prediction market at Intrade has to say about the odds of these people getting the nod as the Republican presidential nominee
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Coming back to Intrade, what, if anything does all this prove. My guess is that, most of the time, betting markets display what's called
Stock-market crashes are hazardous to your reelection chances, as President Obama is discovering.
David Leonhardt weighs in. The other day John Nye and I were discussing that de facto limits on the size of effective bets are the biggest
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Iowa: Romney Overtakes Ron Paul on Intrade. Four days ago. This was Intrade Iowa GOP 2012. Tonight: Iowa Caucus GOP 2012. Romney
The Latest Numbers from Intrade on the Republican Primary and Nomination Process. Posted by Kendall Harmon. As I was writing this, Newt
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Posted Tuesday, December 20, 2011, 11:30 AM Ron Paul supporters have been a bit giddy during the last 24 hours due to the release
Intrade Odds for 2-Term Obama Now Above 52%. As the chances for the Republicans to produce a strong, unifying presidential candidate look
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Intrade: Cain's popularity not translating into likely nomination | Futures-trading site indicates Cain still is not taken seriously as a potential GOP
Intrade became the prototypical example of a prediction market, mentioned in almost every academic paper on the subject. In 2008, Betfair, a
In the wake of the December 10th Republican primary debate, Newt Gingrich has almost tied Mitt Romney on the Intrade market on the 2012
From an email: As EU leaders gather in Brussels to formulate a financial package to avert monetary meltdown, the latest odds from bookmaker
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Is there a bull market in brutal Egyptian dictators? There is Monday. The odds of an imminent departure by Egypt's president, Hosni Mubarak,
According to the latest bets placed by the Intrade folks.But, wow an almost 2 to 1 percentage for Gingrich.And, the Rasmussen Florida GOP Poll
NEW YORK (Reuters) - The online prediction market Intrade sees a 14.6 percent chance Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin will be withdrawn as the
NIA said in its latest article that it considers Intrade to be the best indicator of who is doing well and gaining momentum in the GOP Presidential race, because it
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Gingrich's Intrade odds have now crashed, and he is currently 50 points behind Romney, a staggering reversal. Romney leads Gingrich 62.7%
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Apparently making vague threats against the Chairman of the Federal Reserve is good politics, because Rick Perry's odds of winning the
Even yesterday, Sen. Thune had been the fourth-ranking candidate on Intrade, placing behind only former Governor Romney of Massachusetts
His body will remain where he died. InTrade's other co-founder Patrick Young was the first, at time of publication, to express his condolences.
Comparing the latest polls to what traders at Intrade are betting.
We are truly saddened to report that John Delaney, founder and CEO of Intrade, the prediction market, has died while trying to climb Mt. Everest
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Jonah Goldberg writes on NRO: I'm just asking the question.
According to the latest InTrade odds, Obama's chance of being reelected in 2012 This result however is far from conclusive: InTrade 2012 presidential odds for
Texas Gov. Rick Perry (R) has taken the lead at Intrade, “The World's Leading Prediction Market,” which gives him a 35 percent chance to be
Intrade is an online prediction market that allows customers to bet on world political, entertainment and financial events. Some warn that such
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I have been playing with Intrade for about a month, and it is tough to find markets with enough volume to create enough potential for trading.
These markets are of course fluid, but here's a snapshot of the current Intrade odds for each candidate from last night's debate, and how they've
Early this morning, the numbers at InTrade look like this: Nominee? Romney at 83%, Santorum at 3.8 %, Gingrich at 5% President? Barack
I don't want to start a war with my AEI colleagues, specifically Intrade junkies Mark Perry and Jim Pethokoukis, but can I offer a small bit of
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In a huge reversal that has happened in just the last week, Gingrich's Intrade odds are down below 9% and Romney has surged back up to
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We've had four elections each with a distinctive result, and the next election, if current Intrade predictions pan out could show a 5th result and a
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At this writing, (and subject to change moment by moment) Intrade gives Perry a 31.8% chance of winning the nomination with Romney at 30%.
Newt Gingrich's fortunes on the prediction betting website InTrade have collapsed in the past three days, amid an unrelenting assault from all
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Huntsman now second on InTrade as Republican most likely to be nominated.
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Getty Images Former Utah Gov. John Huntsman Jr. formally joined the other 432 people running for the GOP presidential nomination today, but
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Intrade Bets On Huntsman · Chart1326142612618956. They now make him the second likeliest nominee after Romney, after Ron Paul. But the
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Seems like gambling to me, but lots of folks do it. If it's legal -- what entities/ circumstances make it legal? If it's illegal -- what are the potential
See what employees say it's like to work at Intrade. Salaries, reviews, and more - all posted by employees working at Intrade.
Jonah questions the usefulness of Intrade, doubting whether the “wisdom of crowds” actually generates much predictive value when it comes to
The gamblers, err, investors at Intrade now have Jon Huntsman as the second likeliest nominee after Romney, after Ron Paul. But the odds on
Mr. Delaney was an Irish businessman who founded Intrade, an online exchange that allows customers to bet on world political, entertainment
We've been highlighting the Intrade contracts for the 2012 elections quite a bit recently, but below are two other contracts that readers may find
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Well, I look to Intrade for answers to questions like this. Intrade is a prediction market - sort of like an odds market or parimutuel online betting
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For example, on Intrade, Republicans are given a 78% chance to continue their control of the House, while Democrats are given only a 25% chance to continue
The Intrade numbers are more a statement on Romney, the shaky frontrunner (ex -frontrunner?) and Bachmann's fading star than on Perry as of
During last night's presidential debate, Rick Perry's odds of winning the Republican nomination halved within seconds on Intrade, an online
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After almost closing the gap about a week ago, the Intrade odds have turned against Newt, see chart above. Current odds are 16.9% for Newt
Newt Gingrich's chances of winning the South Carolina primary jumped to 66 percent on Jan. 20, from 7 percent on Jan. 18.
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Once bloggers picked up on the fact that Intrade had gotten rather bullish on Obamacare, the price plummeted to 35. Today it's back up in the
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Rick Perry is tumbling on the betting site Intrade as former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney rises. Is the popular betting market an accurate
Below are the current Intrade odds for who will become the eventual GOP Presidential Nominee. As shown, Romney is at 78.5%, followed by
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Naturally, as Paul's InTrade odds have soared in Iowa, so have Romney's odds on being the nominee. He's up to 68.4 percent as I write this
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The online betting site -- with a record on these matters slightly better than that of the average political pundit -- is seeing a big surge in
Lots of people like to judge the state of a national political race by watching activity on Intrade, which seeks to mimic equity and futures markets in several
Intrade is a widely-cited prediction market. Intrade has a serious structural flaw. Intrade does not include the “time value of money', making long
CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Even as the 11th hour approaches, bettors on Intrade are guessing that a government shutdown may well be
On November 29th, the world's leading market forecaster Intrade tweeted out a warning that the chances of the Euro surviving through the end
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John Delaney, founder and CEO of Intrade, the prediction market, has died while trying to climb Mt. Everest. He was less than 50 meters from
Just poppin to pay attention . There's no such thing as an easy way to make money. But if you happen to know more about politics or world events than
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I missed the debate last night. I was obligated to be somewhere else. In such situations, I've found that Intrade to be as good as any other
Intrade's founder and CEO, John Delaney, has passed away while attempting to climb Mt. Everest, according to a statement on the firm's
The [Intrade] markets offer a way to track the market-based consensus on political and current events. Participants stake real money in
All this brings me to the subject of Intrade's market for the Democratic Nominee for President of the United States in 2012. Currently, Mr. Obama
I recommend intrade everytime somebody tells me how the 2012 election will turn out. I don't trade there myself, since I seem to be one of the few at gratewire
Intrade Post-South Carolina: The Newt Strikes Back! By Marco Rabinowitz Benzinga Staff Writer January 22, 2012 4:46 PM. Posted in: News, Futures, Politics,
View a slideshow of 'Ron Paul soars in new InTrade chart after Heman Cain leaves presidential race' and other National Finance Examiner
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For many people, Intrade is the king of the prediction markets. (We have cited it several times on this blog.) It was co-founded in 1999 by John
Sarah Palin's InTrade odds of running for president took a tumble Sunday following Saturday's deadly shooting in Arizona. In the wake of the
As the New Hampshire primary starts, the Intrade market which allows people to bet on the outcome forecasts a runaway Mitt Romney victory
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